Luton Town is not doomed to demotion with mathematical certainty, even if they lose.
The concept of mathematical certainty entails the construction (usually implicitly) of a possibility space,the set of all possible futures possessing relevant characteristics. An event is "mathematically certain" if it occurs in all possible futures.
Because the possibility space is usually implicitly constructed, the role playd by the choice of what is relevant is typically overlooked.
Isn't it possible (but highly unlikely) that there's a huge scandal involving all clubs above Luton, and they're all docked 30 points, as Luton was in 2008/9 season? Luton would then finish 9th, well clear of relegation.
All it requires is an enlargement of possibility space.
Luton Town is not doomed to demotion with mathematical certainty, even if they lose.
The concept of mathematical certainty entails the construction (usually implicitly) of a possibility space,the set of all possible futures possessing relevant characteristics. An event is "mathematically certain" if it occurs in all possible futures.
Because the possibility space is usually implicitly constructed, the role playd by the choice of what is relevant is typically overlooked.
Isn't it possible (but highly unlikely) that there's a huge scandal involving all clubs above Luton, and they're all docked 30 points, as Luton was in 2008/9 season? Luton would then finish 9th, well clear of relegation.
All it requires is an enlargement of possibility space.